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Introduction to the Special Issue on the 2004 Parkfield Earthquake and the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment

2006/09/01 by Ruth Harris · 1 voice · 1 citation
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Computer Science · #earthquake and tectonic studies #Earthquake Detection and Analysis #Seismology and Earthquake Studies

paper · doi:10.1785/0120050831

openalex publication_date 2006/09/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/14

Abstract

The 28 September 2004 M 6.0 Parkfield earthquake, a long-anticipated event on the San Andreas fault, is the world's best recorded earthquake to date, with state-of-the-art data obtained from geologic, geodetic, seismic, magnetic, and elec-trical field networks. This has allowed the preearthquake and postearthquake states of the San Andreas fault in this region to be analyzed in detail. Analyses of these data provide views into the San Andreas fault that show a complex geologic history, fault geometry, rheology, and response of the nearby region to the earthquake-induced ground movement. Although aspects of San Andreas fault zone behavior in the Parkfield region can be modeled simply over geological time frames, the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment and the 2004 Parkfield earthquake indicate that predicting the fine details of future earthquakes is still a challenge. Instead of a deterministic approach, forecasting future damaging behavior, such as that caused by strong ground motions, will likely continue to require probabilistic methods. How-ever, the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment and the 2004 Parkfield earth-quake have provided ample data to understand most of what did occur in 2004, culminating in significant scientific advances.

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