2025/02/21 by Kevin Riehle · 2 voices · 1 citation
Social Sciences · #Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
paper · pdf · doi:10.1080/02684527.2025.2468051
openalex publication_date 2025/02/21 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/14
How can an intelligence analysis production organization determine whether analysis is successful? This article explores the three methods that intelligence communities have applied to determine whether analysis is good: Did the analysis meet analytic tradecraft standards? Were the assessments accurate? And did the product make a difference with a decision maker? Unfortunately, none of those evaluation methods is perfect and all three leave questions. It can be just as difficult to determine whether analysis is good as it is to produce intelligence analysis itself. However, all three methods can identify products that approach the ideal.