2025/08/12 by Emilie E. Ellis, Laura H. Antão, Andréa Davrinche +11 · 1 voice · 5 citations
Agricultural and Biological Sciences · Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Environmental Science · #Biological dispersal #Biology #Climate change #Colonisation #Colonization #Demography #Ecology #Environmental science #Extinction (optical mineralogy) #Geography #Global warming #Insect and Arachnid Ecology and Behavior #Latitude #Local extinction #Plant and animal studies #Population #Range (aeronautics) #Species Distribution and Climate Change
paper · pdf · doi:10.1038/s41467-025-62216-9
published in Nature Communications 16(1), 7063 (Nature Portfolio)
openalex publication_date 2025/08/12 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/04
As the climate warms, species are shifting their ranges to match their climatic niches, leading to the warming of ecological communities (thermophilisation). We currently have little understanding of the population-level processes driving this community-level warming, particularly at rapidly warming high latitudes. Using 30 years of high-resolution moth monitoring data across a 1200 km latitudinal gradient in Finland, we find that higher latitude communities are experiencing more rapid thermophilisation. We attribute this spatial variation to colonisation-extinction dynamics, both for the full community and for thermal affinity groups. Our findings reveal that latitudinal variation in the pathways underpinning thermophilisation is the net outcome of opposite forces: in the north, community warming is driven by the extinction of cold-affiliated species, while in the south it is driven by high colonisation rates of warm-affiliated species. Thus, we show how species' thermal affinities influence community reorganisation and highlight the elevated extinction risk among cold-affiliated species.