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Less second-order, more Europeanised? The 2024 European Parliament election in Spain

2025/10/15 by Pablo Simón, Anna Bosco · 1 voice
Social Sciences · #European Union Policy and Governance #Social Policy and Reform Studies #Populism, Right-Wing Movements

paper · doi:10.1080/13608746.2025.2564721

openalex publication_date 2025/10/15 · openalex created_date 2025/10/16 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/14

Abstract

This article analyses Spain’s 2024 European Parliament election through the second-order elections (SOE) frame, examining party strategies and voter behaviour. Despite some classic predictions persisting – lower turnout and national-cycle effects – a core SOE assumption is eroded: namely, that voters attend only to national issues. Individual-level evidence shows that left-leaning voters (PSOE, Sumar) were more likely to cite EU-level concerns in their vote choices. On the radical right, motivations diverged: SALF voters’ support reflected national-level protest, whereas Vox’s voters focused on EU issues from a critical stance. Overall, outcomes may look second-order, but mechanisms differ across party families and strategies, suggesting the need to account for interactions between national and supranational logics.

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