2026/03/23 by Romuald Méango, François Poinas · 1 voice
Psychology · Social Sciences · #Migration and Labor Dynamics #Migration, Health and Trauma #Migration, Refugees, and Integration
paper · doi:10.1093/jeea/jvag012
openalex publication_date 2026/03/23 · openalex created_date 2026/03/25 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/30
Abstract The paper is structured around three main contributions. First, it takes advantage of a unique survey on Afghan asylum seekers in Germany to provide novel descriptive insights into asylum seekers’ beliefs about their outcomes and the associated intention to overstay. Second, it estimates asylum seekers’ perceived ex ante returns on overstaying and option values of regularisation, deportation, and experimentation. Third, it assesses and rejects the cost-effectiveness argument for assisted voluntary return policies. Instead, it estimates a sizeable willingness-to-pay of asylum seekers for investments that would guarantee their regularisation.