2020/08/13 by Hossein Tabari · 8 citations
Environmental Science · #Climate variability and models #Hydrology and Drought Analysis #Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
paper · pdf · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-70816-2
openalex publication_date 2020/08/13 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/31
The hydrological cycle is expected to intensify with global warming, which likely increases the intensity of extreme precipitation events and the risk of flooding. The changes, however, often differ from the theorized expectation of increases in water-holding capacity of the atmosphere in the warmer conditions, especially when water availability is limited. Here, the relationships of changes in extreme precipitation and flood intensities for the end of the twenty-first century with spatial and seasonal water availability are quantified. Results show an intensification of extreme precipitation and flood events over all climate regions which increases as water availability increases from wet to dry regions. Similarly, there is an increase in the intensification of extreme precipitation and flood with the seasonal cycle of water availability. The connection between extreme precipitation and flood intensity changes and spatial and seasonal water availability becomes stronger as events become less extreme.