2001/01/01 by Ebru Kirezci, Ian R. Young, Roshanka Ranasinghe +7 · 10 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Health Professions · Medicine · #Coastal and Marine Dynamics #Health and Medical Education #Nursing Roles and Practices #Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing #Pharmaceutical Practices and Patient Outcomes #Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
paper · pdf · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-67736-6
openalex publication_date 2001/01/01 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/06/19
Global models of tide, storm surge, and wave setup are used to obtain projections of episodic coastal flooding over the coming century. The models are extensively validated against tide gauge data and the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on projections estimated in detail. Global "hotspots" where there is projected to be a significant change in episodic flooding by the end of the century are identified and found to be mostly concentrated in north western Europe and Asia. Results show that for the case of, no coastal protection or adaptation, and a mean RCP8.5 scenario, there will be an increase of 48% of the world's land area, 52% of the global population and 46% of global assets at risk of flooding by 2100. A total of 68% of the global coastal area flooded will be caused by tide and storm events with 32% due to projected regional sea level rise.