2009/03/31 by Suraje Dessai, Mike Hulme, Robert J. Lempert +3 · 3 citations
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics #Climate variability and models #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
paper · doi:10.1029/2009eo130003
openalex publication_date 2009/03/31 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/27
Many scientists have called for a substantial new investment in climate modeling to increase the accuracy, precision, and reliability of climate predictions. Such investments are often justified by asserting that failure to improve predictions will prevent society from adapting successfully to changing climate. This Forum questions these claims, suggests limits to predictability, and argues that society can (and indeed must) make effective adaptation decisions in the absence of accurate and precise climate predictions.