Early growing season weather variation, expectation formation and agricultural land allocation decisions in Ethiopia

2022/08/18 by Musa Hasen Ahmed, Wondimagegn Mesfin Tesfaye, Wondimagegn Tesfaye +1
Agricultural and Biological Sciences · #Agricultural Innovations and Practices #Agricultural risk and resilience #Land Rights and Reforms

paper · doi:10.1111/1477-9552.12507

openalex publication_date 2022/08/18 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/20

Abstract

Abstract Using unique crop‐specific data gathered over 7 years, we study if and how maize‐producing farmers in Ethiopia adjust their land allocation decisions in response to pre‐planting‐season weather variations. We show that farmers adjust their land allocation decisions in response to increased temperatures early in the growing season. In addition to quantifying a substantial adaptation margin that has not been documented before, our study also reveals the presence of a weather variation‐induced expansion of maize production into areas that are less suitable for maize cultivation.

Citations

• Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia
• Agronomic Weather Measures in Econometric Models of Crop Yield with Implications for Climate Change
• Does Adaptation to Climate Change Provide Food Security? A Micro‐Perspective from Ethiopia
• Responsiveness of Crop Yield and Acreage to Prices and Climate
• Measuring Farm and Market Level Economic Impacts of Improved Maize Production Technologies in Ethiopia: Evidence from Panel Data
• Sustainable intensification among smallholder maize farmers in Ethiopia: Adoption and impacts under rainfall and unobserved heterogeneity

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