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Aircraft speed and fuel usage: Empirical estimates with an exploration of environmental speed limits

2025/11/04 by Jan K. Brueckner, Chrystyane Abreu, Chrystyane Gerth Silveira Abreu
Engineering · Environmental Science · #Advanced Aircraft Design and Technologies #Air Traffic Management and Optimization #Vehicle emissions and performance

paper · doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101655

openalex created_date 2025/11/04 · openalex publication_date 2025/11/04 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This paper uses a Brazilian dataset to estimate the relationship between fuel usage and speed for jet passenger aircraft. This exercise appears to be unique, with prior evidence on the fuel-speed relationship coming entirely from engineering models. The regressions generate U-shaped fuel-speed curves like those from the engineering approach, focusing on groups of narrow-body aircraft types (NEO vs. pre-NEO), rather than individual aircraft models. The empirical estimates are used to evaluate the desirability of environmental aircraft speed limits, which would force planes to fly at a speed that minimizes fuel usage, thereby reducing carbon emissions but imposing longer flight times on passengers.

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