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Tackling Uncertainty in US Local Climate Adaptation Planning

2018/04/16 by Missy Stults, Larissa Larsen · 2 citations
Agricultural and Biological Sciences · Environmental Science · Social Sciences · #Climate Change Communication and Perception #Climate change impacts on agriculture #Sustainability and Climate Change Governance

paper · doi:10.1177/0739456x18769134

openalex publication_date 2018/04/16 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/30

Abstract

Climate adaptation presents some new forms of planning uncertainty. We identified thirteen types of climate change uncertainty and grouped these into four categories. Next, we summarized eleven planning techniques, noting that only six of these techniques reflect an adapt and monitor approach that actively engages uncertainty. We then evaluated the types of uncertainty and planning techniques identified in forty-four US local climate adaptation plans. We found no communities used scenario planning or robust strategies despite the emphasis placed on these techniques in the literature.

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