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Decomposable Probabilistic Influence Diagrams

1991/04/01 by C. C. Chyu, Chiuh Cheng Chyu · 1 citation
Computer Science · #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

paper · doi:10.1017/s0269964800002035

openalex publication_date 1991/04/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/05/21

Abstract

Probabilistic influence diagrams are a useful stochastic modeling tool. To calculate probabilities of interest relative to a probabilistic influence diagram efficiently, it will be helpful for us to use an associated decomposable-directed graph. We first explore and discuss some graph-theoretic and conditional independence properties of decomposable probabilistic influence diagrams. These properties are helpful in providing an efficient algorithm for obtaining a posterior decomposable probabilistic influence diagram given the state of one or more observed nodes. The connection between Shachter's “sequential creation of conditionally barren nodes” concept and Lauritzen and Spiegeihalter's “moralization and triangulation” algorithm for calculating probabilities relative to a probabilistic influence diagram is made explicit. We also discuss how to use wisely the concepts of “sequential creation of conditionally barren nodes” and “merging nodes” together with the graph-theoretic properties of decomposable directed graphs to compute probabilities relative to probabilistic influence diagrams.

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