2018/02/07 by Jakob Runge, Runge, Jakob, Georgios Balasis +7
Physics and Astronomy · #FOS: Physical sciences #Space Physics (physics.space-ph) #physics.space-ph
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1802.02477
18 pages, 6 figures
arxiv created 2018/02/07 · arxiv updated 2018/02/08
The dynamical relationship between magnetic storms and magnetospheric substorms presents one of the most controversial problems of contemporary geospace research. Here, we tackle this issue by applying a causal inference approach to two corresponding indices in conjunction with several relevant solar wind variables. We demonstrate that the vertical component of the interplanetary magnetic field is the strongest and common driver of both, storms and substorms, and explains their the previously reported association. These results hold during both solar maximum and minimum phases and suggest that, at least based on the analyzed indices, there is no statistical evidence for a direct or indirect dependency between substorms and storms. A physical mechanism by which substorms drive storms or vice versa is, therefore, unlikely.