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Policy Optimization Using Semi-parametric Models for Dynamic Pricing

2021/09/13 by Jianqing Fan, Fan, Jianqing, Yongyi Guo +3 · 4 citations
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Advanced Bandit Algorithms Research #Machine Learning and Algorithms #Optimization and Search Problems #cs.LG #econ.EM #math.OC #stat.ME #stat.ML

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2109.06368

71 pages, Major Revision

arxiv created 2022/05/04 · arxiv updated 2022/05/05

Abstract

In this paper, we study the contextual dynamic pricing problem where the market value of a product is linear in its observed features plus some market noise. Products are sold one at a time, and only a binary response indicating success or failure of a sale is observed. Our model setting is similar to Javanmard and Nazerzadeh [2019] except that we expand the demand curve to a semiparametric model and need to learn dynamically both parametric and nonparametric components. We propose a dynamic statistical learning and decision-making policy that combines semiparametric estimation from a generalized linear model with an unknown link and online decision-making to minimize regret (maximize revenue). Under mild conditions, we show that for a market noise c.d.f. F(⋅) with m-th order derivative (m≥ 2), our policy achieves a regret upper bound of Od(T(2m+1)/(4m-1)), where T is time horizon and Od is the order that hides logarithmic terms and the dimensionality of feature d. The upper bound is further reduced to Od(√(T)) if F is super smooth whose Fourier transform decays exponentially. In terms of dependence on the horizon T, these upper bounds are close to Ω(√(T)), the lower bound where F belongs to a parametric class. We further generalize these results to the case with dynamically dependent product features under the strong mixing condition.

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