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Lower deviation probabilities for supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson processes

2025/06/30 by Jiangrui, Tan
#FOS: Mathematics #Probability (math.PR)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2506.23647

Abstract

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the lower deviation probability properties for a d-type (d>1) Galton--Watson (GW) process \Zn=(Zn(i))1≤ i≤ d;n≥0\ in both Schröder and Böttcher cases. We establish explicit decay rates for the following probabilities: ℙ(Zn=kn),~ ℙ(|Zn|≤ kn), ~ℙ(Z(i)n=kn)~~and~~ℙ(Z(i)n≤ kn), 1≤ i ≤ d, respectively, where kn∈ℤ+d, |kn|=o(cn), kn=o(cn) and cn characterizes the growth rate of Zn. These results extend the single-type lower deviation theorems of Fleischmann and Wachtel (Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Statist.43 (2007) 233-255), thereby paving the way for analysis of precise decay rates of large deviations in multi-type GW processes.

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