vix.ing · top · new · best · stats · spec

Global Modeling and Prediction of Computer Network Traffic

2010/05/24 by Stilian Stoev, George Michailidis, Stoev, Stilian A. +3
Computer Science · Physics and Astronomy · #Complex Network Analysis Techniques #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Network Security and Intrusion Detection #Network Traffic and Congestion Control #Networking and Internet Architecture (cs.NI) #Statistics Theory (math.ST)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1005.4337

openalex publication_date 2010/05/24 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We develop a probabilistic framework for global modeling of the traffic over a computer network. This model integrates existing single-link (-flow) traffic models with the routing over the network to capture the global traffic behavior. It arises from a limit approximation of the traffic fluctuations as the time--scale and the number of users sharing the network grow. The resulting probability model is comprised of a Gaussian and/or a stable, infinite variance components. They can be succinctly described and handled by certain 'space-time' random fields. The model is validated against simulated and real data. It is then applied to predict traffic fluctuations over unobserved links from a limited set of observed links. Further, applications to anomaly detection and network management are briefly discussed.

Citations

Related