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Markovian Persuasion with Two States

2022/09/14 by Galit Ashkenazi-Golan, Ashkenazi-Golan, Galit, Penélope Hernández +5 · 1 citation
Decision Sciences · Physics and Astronomy · #FOS: Economics and business #Game Theory and Applications #Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence #Theoretical Economics (econ.TH)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2209.06536

openalex publication_date 2022/09/14 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This paper addresses the question of how to best communicate information over time in order to influence an agent's belief and induced actions in a model with a binary state of the world that evolves according to a Markov process, and with a finite number of actions. We characterize the sender's optimal message strategy in the limit, as the length of each period decreases to zero. The optimal strategy is not myopic. Depending on the agent's beliefs, sometimes no information is revealed, and sometimes the agent's belief is split into two well-chosen posterior beliefs.

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