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End-Cut Preference in Survival Trees

2025/09/22 by Xiaogang Su, Su, Xiaogang
Computer Science · #62N05 #68T07 #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #Constraint Satisfaction and Optimization #Data Mining Algorithms and Applications #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2509.18477

openalex publication_date 2025/09/22 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The end-cut preference (ECP) problem, referring to the tendency to favor split points near the boundaries of a feature's range, is a well-known issue in CART (Breiman et al., 1984). ECP may induce highly imbalanced and biased splits, obscure weak signals, and lead to tree structures that are both unstable and difficult to interpret. For survival trees, we show that ECP also arises when using greedy search to select the optimal cutoff point by maximizing the log-rank test statistic. To address this issue, we propose a smooth sigmoid surrogate (SSS) approach, in which the hard-threshold indicator function is replaced by a smooth sigmoid function. We further demonstrate, both theoretically and through numerical illustrations, that SSS provides an effective remedy for mitigating or avoiding ECP.

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