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A multiplicative process for generating the rank-order distribution of UK election results

2016/09/14 by Trevor Fenner, Mark Levene, Fenner, Trevor +3
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Physics and Astronomy · #Applications (stat.AP) #Complex Network Analysis Techniques #Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1609.04282

openalex publication_date 2016/09/14 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Human dynamics and sociophysics suggest statistical models that may explain and provide us with a better understanding of social phenomena. Here we propose a generative multiplicative decrease model that gives rise to a rank-order distribution and allows us to analyse the results of the last three UK parliamentary elections. We provide empirical evidence that the additive Weibull distribution, which can be generated from our model, is a close fit to the electoral data, offering a novel interpretation of the recent election results.

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