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Probability Estimation with Truncated Inverse Binomial Sampling

2019/08/19 by Xinjia Chen, Chen, Xinjia
Computer Science · #Algorithms and Data Compression #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Electrical engineering #FOS: Mathematics #Formal Methods in Verification #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Machine Learning and Algorithms #Statistics Theory (math.ST) #Systems and Control (eess.SY) #electronic engineering #information engineering

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1908.06907

openalex publication_date 2019/08/19 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding bound is an immediate consequence of the theory. Moreover, we propose a rigorous and efficient method for probability estimation, which is an adaptive Monte Carlo estimation method based on truncated inverse binomial sampling. Our proposed method of probability estimation can be orders of magnitude more efficient as compared to existing methods in literature and widely used software.

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