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Assessing Sensitivity to Unconfoundedness: Estimation and Inference

2020/12/31 by Matthew A. Masten, Masten, Matthew A., Alexandre Poirier +3
Mathematics · #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #Econometrics (econ.EM) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference #Statistical Methods and Inference

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2012.15716

openalex publication_date 2020/12/31 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This article provides a set of methods for quantifying the robustness of treatment effects estimated using the unconfoundedness assumption. Specifically, we estimate and do inference on bounds for various treatment effect parameters, like the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) and the average effect of treatment on the treated (ATT), under nonparametric relaxations of the unconfoundedness assumption indexed by a scalar sensitivity parameter <i>c</i>. These relaxations allow for limited selection on unobservables, depending on the value of <i>c</i>. For large enough <i>c</i>, these bounds equal the no assumptions bounds. Using a nonstandard bootstrap method, we show how to construct confidence bands for these bound functions which are uniform over all values of <i>c</i>. We illustrate these methods with an empirical application to the National Supported Work Demonstration program. We implement these methods in the companion Stata module tesensitivity for easy use in practice.

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