2019/06/11 by Claudia Noack, Noack, Claudia, Rothe, Christoph · 3 citations
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Econometrics (econ.EM) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #Fuzzy Systems and Optimization #Methodology (stat.ME) #Multi-Criteria Decision Making #Neural Networks and Applications
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1906.04631
openalex publication_date 2019/06/11 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
We propose new confidence sets (CSs) for the regression discontinuity parameter in fuzzy designs. Our CSs are based on local linear regression, and are bias-aware, in the sense that they take possible bias explicitly into account. Their construction shares similarities with that of Anderson-Rubin CSs in exactly identified instrumental variable models, and thereby avoids issues with "delta method" approximations that underlie most commonly used existing inference methods for fuzzy regression discontinuity analysis. Our CSs are asymptotically equivalent to existing procedures in canonical settings with strong identification and a continuous running variable. However, due to their particular construction they are also valid under a wide range of empirically relevant conditions in which existing methods can fail, such as setups with discrete running variables, donut designs, and weak identification.