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Statistical inference across time scales

2011/06/06 by Duval, Céline, Hoffmann, Marc
#62B10 #62B15 #62M99 #FOS: Mathematics #Statistics Theory (math.ST)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1106.1031

Abstract

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales: microscopic, intermediate and macroscopic. We quantify the smooth statistical transition from a microscopic Poissonian regime to a macroscopic Gaussian regime. The classical quadratic variation estimator is efficient in both microscopic and macroscopic scales but surprisingly shows a substantial loss of information in the intermediate scale that can be explicitly related to the sampling rate. We discuss the implications of these findings beyond this idealised framework.

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