1997/08/01 by Martyn Andrews, Steve Bradley
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Social Sciences · #Labor market dynamics and wage inequality #Education Systems and Policy #Retirement, Disability, and Employment
paper · pdf · doi:10.1111/1468-0335.00087
This paper analyses the choices made by school leavers and the demand for training in the youth labour market. Using a large cross‐section database on all school leavers in Lancashire in 1991, we model, using a multinomial logit, their first destination six months after the end of compulsory schooling. We model six choices/outcomes: non‐vocational continuing education, vocational continuing education, youth training, employment with on‐the‐job training, employment with general‐skills training, and unemployment. Our results show that the first destination from school is affected by a range of individual, school and local labour market variables. In addition to academic ability, we report three effects that are not well known: a young person is more likely to leave school the bigger the school, the lower its academic performance, and the lower his or her expected lifetime earn‐ings.