Making use of the information in ensemble weather forecasts: comparing the end to end and full statistical modelling approaches

2004/09/20 by Stephen Jewson, Jewson, Stephen
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · Physics and Astronomy · #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Climate variability and models #FOS: Physical sciences #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research #physics.ao-ph

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.physics/0409097

arxiv created 2004/09/20 · openalex publication_date 2004/09/20 · arxiv updated 2009/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We discuss how ensemble weather forecasts can be used, and highlight the advantages and disadvantages of two particular methods.

Citations

• Moment based methods for ensemble assessment and calibration
• Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?
• Probabilistic temperature forecasting: a summary of our recent research results

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