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Optimal inference for the mean of random functions

2025/04/15 by Omar Kassi, Kassi, Omar, Valentin Patilea +1 · 1 citation
Mathematics · #Statistical Methods and Inference #Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods #Mathematical Approximation and Integration

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2504.11025

Abstract

We study estimation and inference for the mean of real-valued random functions defined on a hypercube. The independent random functions are observed on a discrete, random subset of design points, possibly with heteroscedastic noise. We propose a novel optimal-rate estimator based on Fourier series expansions and establish a sharp non-asymptotic error bound in L2-norm. Additionally, we derive a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation bound for our estimated Fourier coefficients. Pointwise and uniform confidence sets are constructed. Our approach is made adaptive by a plug-in estimator for the Hölder regularity of the mean function, for which we derive non-asymptotic concentration bounds.

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