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Vendor-Conditioned Contrastive Learning for Predicting Organizational Cyber Threat Targets

2020/12/26 by Benjamin Ampel, Ampel, Benjamin M.
Computer Science · #Cryptography and Security (cs.CR) #Cybercrime and Law Enforcement Studies #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Information and Cyber Security #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Network Security and Intrusion Detection

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2012.14425

openalex publication_date 2020/12/26 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Cyberattacks cause billions of dollars in damage annually, with malicious hackers often sharing exploit code and techniques on underground forums. Identifying which organizations are targeted by these exploits is critical for proactive Cyber Threat Intelligence (CTI). To address that gap, we propose Temporal Representation and Classification of Exploits (TRACE), a vendor-conditioned contrastive learning framework built on CySecBERT that jointly optimizes organizational target classification and vendor-coherent representations while evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift. Unlike prior work limited to small, single-source datasets, we leverage a large-scale, multi-source corpus spanning 9 exploit databases and hacker forums, comprising 352,866 posts collected over three decades, yielding a 129,126-sample dataset across seven organizational categories. In the temporal out-of-distribution evaluation, TRACE achieves macro F1=97.00%, substantially outperforming 17 benchmark classical ML methods, deep learning with GloVe/FastText embeddings, and pretrained transformer models.

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