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Relative Probability on Finite Outcome Spaces: A Systematic Examination of its Axiomatization, Properties, and Applications

2022/12/30 by Max Sklar, Sklar, Max
Computer Science · #60A05 #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Probability (math.PR) #Topological and Geometric Data Analysis

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2212.14555

openalex publication_date 2022/12/30 · openalex created_date 2023/01/06 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative probability functions. We then provide a library of examples of these functions and a system for composing them. Additionally, we discuss a relative version of Bayesian inference and its digital implementation. Finally, we prove the topological closure of the relative probability space, highlighting its ability to preserve information under limits.

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