2016/01/17 by Rzoska Agata Angelika, Angelika, Rzoska Agata
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Physics and Astronomy · #FOS: Economics and business #FOS: Physical sciences #General Finance (q-fin.GN) #Popular Physics (physics.pop-ph) #physics.pop-ph #q-fin.GN
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1601.05081
16 pages, 4 figures
arxiv created 2016/01/17 · arxiv updated 2016/01/20
It has been shown that the long term evolution of the Gross Product of the World after World War II can be well portrayed by the exponential function with the crossover at the year 1973, cinsiding with the Oil Crisis onset. For the the Standard and Poor 500 index the single exponential behavior extends down to at least the mid of the nineteen century. It is notable that the detailed short-term insight focused on the last quarter of century revealed the emergence of the power like dependence. However, such dependences can be introduced only when taking into account the behavior at reference-baselines years. The possible relationship to the growth/death evolution of microorganisms is also discussed. The report proposes the new discussion of the past and nowadays time of the global economy. It recalls econonophysics and sociophysics as disciplines within which the effective parameterization of trends is possible. Finally, possible future trends are discussed.