2021/11/30 by Kelly Van Lancker, Van Lancker, Kelly, Oliver Dukes +3
Mathematics · #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference #Statistical Methods and Inference
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2112.00172
openalex publication_date 2021/11/30 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
The problem of how to best select variables for confounding adjustment forms one of the key challenges in the evaluation of exposure effects in observational studies, and has been the subject of vigorous recent activity in causal inference. A major drawback of routine procedures is that there is no finite sample size at which they are guaranteed to deliver exposure effect estimators and associated confidence intervals with adequate performance. In this work, we will consider this problem when inferring conditional causal hazard ratios from observational studies under the assumption of no unmeasured confounding. The major complication that we face with survival data is that the key confounding variables may not be those that explain the censoring mechanism. In this paper, we overcome this problem using a novel and simple procedure that can be implemented using off-the-shelf software for penalized Cox regression. In particular, we will propose tests of the null hypothesis that the exposure has no effect on the considered survival endpoint, which are uniformly valid under standard sparsity conditions. Simulation results show that the proposed methods yield valid inferences even when covariates are high-dimensional.