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Crime Hot-Spot Modeling via Topic Modeling and Relative Density Estimation

2022/02/08 by Zhou, Jonathan, Huestis-Mitchell, Sarah, Cheng, Xiuyuan +1
#Computation and Language (cs.CL) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Information Retrieval (cs.IR) #Machine Learning (cs.LG)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2202.04176

Abstract

We present a method to capture groupings of similar calls and determine their relative spatial distribution from a collection of crime record narratives. We first obtain a topic distribution for each narrative, and then propose a nearest neighbors relative density estimation (kNN-RDE) approach to obtain spatial relative densities per topic. Experiments over a large corpus (n=475,019) of narrative documents from the Atlanta Police Department demonstrate the viability of our method in capturing geographic hot-spot trends which call dispatchers do not initially pick up on and which go unnoticed due to conflation with elevated event density in general.

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