2023/04/27 by Michael Sierra‐Arévalo, Justin Nix, Scott M. Mourtgos · 27 citations
Psychology · Social Sciences · #Crime Patterns and Interventions #Criminology #George (robot) #Gun Ownership and Violence Research #History #Law #Officer #Policing Practices and Perceptions #Political science #Psychology #Relevance (law)
paper · doi:10.1111/1745-9125.12334
published in Criminology 61(3), 389-420 (Wiley)
openalex publication_date 2023/04/27 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/08/05
Abstract The police murder of George Floyd sparked nationwide protests in the summer of 2020 and revived claims that public outcry over such high‐profile police killings perpetuated a violent “war on cops.” Using data collected by the Gun Violence Archive (GVA) on firearm assaults of U.S. police officers, we use Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) modeling to empirically assess if and how patterns of firearm assault on police officers in the United States were influenced by the police murder of George Floyd. Our analysis finds that the murder of George Floyd was associated with a 3‐week spike in firearm assaults on police, after which the trend in firearms assaults dropped to levels only slightly above that which were predicted by pre‐Floyd data. We discuss potential explanations for these findings and consider their relevance to the contemporary discussion of a “war on cops,” violence, and officer safety.