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A deep learning approach to real-time parking occupancy prediction in spatio-temporal networks incorporating multiple spatio-temporal data sources

2019/01/21 by Shuguan Yang, Yang, Shuguan, Wei Ma +5
Engineering · Social Sciences · #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Smart Parking Systems Research #Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques #Transportation Planning and Optimization

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1901.06758

openalex publication_date 2019/01/21 · openalex created_date 2019/02/21 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

A deep learning model is applied for predicting block-level parking occupancy in real time. The model leverages Graph-Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNN) to extract the spatial relations of traffic flow in large-scale networks, and utilizes Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) to capture the temporal features. In addition, the model is capable of taking multiple heterogeneously structured traffic data sources as input, such as parking meter transactions, traffic speed, and weather conditions. The model performance is evaluated through a case study in Pittsburgh downtown area. The proposed model outperforms other baseline methods including multi-layer LSTM and Lasso with an average testing MAPE of 10.6% when predicting block-level parking occupancies 30 minutes in advance. The case study also shows that, in generally, the prediction model works better for business areas than for recreational locations. We found that incorporating traffic speed and weather information can significantly improve the prediction performance. Weather data is particularly useful for improving predicting accuracy in recreational areas.

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