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A Model of Presidential Debates

2019/07/02 by Doron Klunover, John Morgan, Klunover, Doron +1
Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Social Sciences · #Computer science #Economics #Electoral Systems and Political Participation #Epistemology #FOS: Economics and business #Game Theory and Applications #General Economics (econ.GN) #Law #Law and economics #Media Influence and Politics #Philosophy #Political science #Politics #Positive economics #Presidential system #Public opinion #Public relations #Quality (philosophy) #State (computer science) #econ.GN #q-fin.EC

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1907.01362

published in arXiv (Cornell University) (Cornell University)

openalex publication_date 2019/07/02 · arxiv created 2020/02/26 · arxiv updated 2020/02/27 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Presidential debates are viewed as providing an important public good by revealing information on candidates to voters. We consider an endogenous model of presidential debates in which an incumbent and a challenger (who is privately informed about her own quality) publicly announce whether they are willing to participate in a public debate, taking into account that a voter's choice of candidate depends on her beliefs regarding the candidates' qualities and on the state of nature.It is found that in equilibrium a debate occurs or does not occur independently of the challenger's quality and therefore the candidates' announcements are uninformative. This is because opting-out is perceived to be worse than losing a debate and therefore the challenger never refuses to participate.

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