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Explaining Vote Switching Across First- and Second-Order Elections

2005/02/08 by Cliff Carrubba, Richard J. Timpone · 126 citations
Social Sciences · #Affect (linguistics) #Computer science #Context (archaeology) #Contingent vote #Economics #Electoral Systems and Political Participation #Group voting ticket #History #Law #Order (exchange) #Parliament #Political economy #Political science #Politics #Populism, Right-Wing Movements #Ranked voting system #Social Media and Politics #Sociology #Spoilt vote #Test (biology) #Variety (cybernetics) #Voting #Voting behavior

paper · pdf · doi:10.1177/0010414004272693

published in Comparative Political Studies 38(3), 260-281 (SAGE Publishing)

openalex publication_date 2005/02/08 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Across Western democracies, individuals frequently vote for different parties in different elections. A variety of explanations have been proposed for this behavior. In the European context, scholars have focused on the idea that individuals may vote for different parties because some elections are less important than others (i.e., are “second-order” elections). In the U.S. context, scholars have focused on the possibility that individuals might vote for different parties because they care about how the two chambers will affect policy outcomes. In this article, the authors test among four alternative motivations for vote switching, two predicated on the notion that individuals treat one of the elections as second-order and two predicated on the notion that individuals care about policy outcomes from both chambers. The tests are performed by analyzing Euro-barometer survey data on individual voting behavior in European national and European Parliament elections. The authors find support for all four motivations.

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