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Non-linear Triple Changes Estimator for Targeted Policies

2024/02/19 by Sina Akbari, Akbari, Sina, Negar Kiyavash +1
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #Econometrics (econ.EM) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #Innovation Policy and R&D #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Inference

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2402.12583

openalex publication_date 2024/02/19 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The renowned difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator relies on the assumption of 'parallel trends,' which does not hold in many practical applications. To address this issue, the econometrics literature has turned to the triple difference estimator. Both DiD and triple difference are limited to assessing average effects exclusively. An alternative avenue is offered by the changes-in-changes (CiC) estimator, which provides an estimate of the entire counterfactual distribution at the cost of relying on (stronger) distributional assumptions. In this work, we extend the triple difference estimator to accommodate the CiC framework, presenting the `triple changes estimator' and its identification assumptions, thereby expanding the scope of the CiC paradigm. Subsequently, we empirically evaluate the proposed framework and apply it to a study examining the impact of Medicaid expansion on children's preventive care.

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