2022/11/08 by Shiheng Duan, Duan, Shiheng, Shuaiqi Wu +5
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics #Tree-ring climate responses
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2211.03925
openalex publication_date 2022/11/08 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/29
Almonds are one of the most lucrative products of California, but are also among the most sensitive to climate change. In order to better understand the relationship between climatic factors and almond yield, an automated machine learning framework is used to build a collection of machine learning models. The prediction skill is assessed using historical records. Future projections are derived using 17 downscaled climate outputs. The ensemble mean projection displays almond yield changes under two different climate scenarios, along with two technology development scenarios, where the role of technology development is highlighted. The mean projections and distributions provide insightful results to stakeholders and can be utilized by policymakers for climate adaptation.