2013/02/13 by Michael C. Horsch, Horsch, Michael C., David Poole +1
Computer Science · #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #FOS: Computer and information sciences
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1302.3583
openalex publication_date 2013/02/13 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
We report on work towards flexible algorithms for solving decision problems represented as influence diagrams. An algorithm is given to construct a tree structure for each decision node in an influence diagram. Each tree represents a decision function and is constructed incrementally. The improvements to the tree converge to the optimal decision function (neglecting computational costs) and the asymptotic behaviour is only a constant factor worse than dynamic programming techniques, counting the number of Bayesian network queries. Empirical results show how expected utility increases with the size of the tree and the number of Bayesian net calculations.