What is the `relevant population' in Bayesian forensic inference?

2014/03/24 by Niko Brümmer, Brümmer, Niko, Edward de Villiers +1
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Computer Science · Mathematics · #Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications #Applications (stat.AP) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Forensic and Genetic Research #stat.AP

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1403.6008

Technical report, AGNITIO Research, South Africa

arxiv created 2014/03/24 · openalex publication_date 2014/03/24 · arxiv updated 2014/03/25 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

In works discussing the Bayesian paradigm for presenting forensic evidence in court, the concept of a `relevant population' is often mentioned, without a clear definition of what is meant, and without recommendations of how to select such populations. This note is to try to better understand this concept. Our analysis is intended to be general enough to be applicable to different forensic technologies and we shall consider both DNA profiling and speaker recognition as examples.

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