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Probabilistic Programming and PyMC3

2016/07/01 by Peadar Coyle, Coyle, Peadar
Computer Science · #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Other Computer Science (cs.OH) #cs.OH

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1607.00379

arxiv created 2016/07/01 · arxiv updated 2016/07/05

Abstract

In recent years sports analytics has gotten more and more popular. We propose a model for Rugby data - in particular to model the 2014 Six Nations tournament. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the characteristics that bring a team to lose or win a game, and predict the score of particular matches. This is intended to be a brief introduction to Probabilistic Programming in Python and in particular the powerful library called PyMC3.

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