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Exact P-values for Network Interference

2015/06/05 by Susan Athey, Dean Eckles, Athey, Susan +3
Mathematics · Physics and Astronomy · Psychology · #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #Complex Network Analysis Techniques #Econometrics (econ.EM) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Economics and business #FOS: Mathematics #Mental Health Research Topics #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistics Theory (math.ST)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1506.02084

openalex publication_date 2015/06/05 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We study the calculation of exact p-values for a large class of non-sharp null hypotheses about treatment effects in a setting with data from experiments involving members of a single connected network. The class includes null hypotheses that limit the effect of one unit's treatment status on another according to the distance between units; for example, the hypothesis might specify that the treatment status of immediate neighbors has no effect, or that units more than two edges away have no effect. We also consider hypotheses concerning the validity of sparsification of a network (for example based on the strength of ties) and hypotheses restricting heterogeneity in peer effects (so that, for example, only the number or fraction treated among neighboring units matters). Our general approach is to define an artificial experiment, such that the null hypothesis that was not sharp for the original experiment is sharp for the artificial experiment, and such that the randomization analysis for the artificial experiment is validated by the design of the original experiment.

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