2024/02/01 by Wenyu Li, Li, Wenyu, Yuchang Lin +5
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling #Methodology (stat.ME)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2402.00597
openalex publication_date 2024/02/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties such as identifiability and computational tractability for many assets. A sufficient condition of the strict stationarity is derived for the new process. Two quasi-maximum likelihood estimation methods are proposed for the new model with and without low-rank constraints on the coefficient matrices respectively, and the asymptotic properties for both estimators are established. Moreover, a Bayesian information criterion with selection consistency is developed for order selection, and the testing for volatility spillover effects is carefully discussed. The finite sample performance of the proposed methods is evaluated in simulation studies for small and moderate dimensions. The usefulness of the new model and its inference tools is illustrated by two empirical examples for 5 stock markets and 17 industry portfolios, respectively.