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Predicting Climate Variability over the Indian Region Using Data Mining Strategies

2015/09/23 by Mallenahalli, Naresh Kumar
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Climate variability and models #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Hydrological Forecasting Using AI #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Precipitation Measurement and Analysis

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1509.06920

openalex publication_date 2015/09/23 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

In this paper an approach based on expectation maximization (EM) clustering to find the climate regions and a support vector machine to build a predictive model for each of these regions is proposed. To minimize the biases in the estimations a ten cross fold validation is adopted both for obtaining clusters and building the predictive models. The EM clustering could identify all the zones as per the Koppen classification over Indian region. The proposed strategy when employed for predicting temperature has resulted in an RMSE of 1.19 in the Montane climate region and 0.89 in the Humid Sub Tropical region as compared to 2.9 and 0.95 respectively predicted using k-means and linear regression method.

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