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Estimating Stochastic Production Frontiers: A One-stage Multivariate Semi-Nonparametric Bayesian Concave Regression Method

2015/10/06 by Jose Arreola, José Luis Preciado Arreola, Arreola, José Luis Preciado +2
Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring #Applications (stat.AP) #Efficiency Analysis Using DEA #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Inference #stat.AP #stat.ME

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1510.01772

arxiv created 2015/10/06 · openalex publication_date 2015/10/06 · arxiv updated 2015/10/08 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This paper describes a method to estimate a production frontier that satisfies the axioms of monotonicity and concavity in a non-parametric Bayesian setting. An inefficiency term that allows for significant departure from prior distributional assumptions is jointly estimated in a single stage with parametric prior assumptions. We introduce heteroscedasticity into the inefficiency terms by local hyperplane-specific shrinkage hyperparameters and impose monotonicity using bound-constrained local nonlinear regression. Our minimum-of-hyperplanes estimator imposes concavity. Our Monte Carlo simulation experiments demonstrate that the frontier and efficiency estimations are competitive, economically sound, and allow for the analysis of larger datasets than existing nonparametric methods. We validate the proposed method using data from 2007-2010 for Japan's concrete industry. The results show that the efficiency levels remain relatively high over the time period.

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