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Nonlinear Causal Discovery for Grouped Data

2025/06/05 by Konstantin Göbler, Göbler, Konstantin, Tobias Windisch +3 · 1 voice · 2 citations
Computer Science · Mathematics · #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Methodology (stat.ME) #cs.LG #stat.ME #stat.ML

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2506.05120

openalex publication_date 2025/06/05 · arxiv published 2025/06/05 · arxiv updated 2025/06/05 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social science, and industrial manufacturing, the causal units of interest are groups of variables rather than individual scalar measurements. Motivated by these applications, we extend nonlinear additive noise models to handle random vectors, establishing a two-step approach for causal graph learning: First, infer the causal order among random vectors. Second, perform model selection to identify the best graph consistent with this order. We introduce effective and novel solutions for both steps in the vector case, demonstrating strong performance in simulations. Finally, we apply our method to real-world assembly line data with partial knowledge of causal ordering among variable groups.

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