Policy lessons from the Italian pandemic of Covid-19

2023/03/11 by José M. Carcione, Carcione, José M., Jing Ba +1
Mathematics · #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph) #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2303.16644

openalex publication_date 2023/03/11 · openalex created_date 2023/04/05 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We analyze the management of the Italian pandemic during the five identified waves. We considered the following problems: (i) The composition of the CTS ("Scientific Technical Committee"), which was composed entirely of doctors, mainly virologists, without mathematical epidemiologists, statisticians, physicists, etc. In fact, a pandemic has a behavior described by mathematical, stochastic and probabilistic criteria; (ii) Political interference in security measures and media propaganda; (iii) The initial stages of the vaccination campaign, ignoring the age factor, and (iv) The persistence of the pandemic due to the population unvaccinated (anti-vax or "no-vax"), which amounts to about six to seven million people, including 10% of anti-vax doctors.

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