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Certified metamodels for sensitivity indices estimation

2011/07/18 by Alexandre Janon, Janon, Alexandre, Maëlle Nodet +3
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Mathematics · Physics and Astronomy · #Analysis of PDEs (math.AP) #FOS: Mathematics #Model Reduction and Neural Networks #Numerical Methods and Algorithms #Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design #Statistics Theory (math.ST) #math.AP #math.ST #stat.TH

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1107.3542

5e Biennale Française des Mathématiques Appliquées (2011)

openalex publication_date 2011/07/18 · arxiv created 2012/01/11 · arxiv updated 2012/01/16 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Global sensitivity analysis of a numerical code, more specifically estimation of Sobol indices associated with input variables, generally requires a large number of model runs. When those demand too much computation time, it is necessary to use a reduced model (metamodel) to perform sensitivity analysis, whose outputs are numerically close to the ones of the original model, while being much faster to run. In this case, estimated indices are subject to two kinds of errors: sampling error, caused by the computation of the integrals appearing in the definition of the Sobol indices by a Monte-Carlo method, and metamodel error, caused by the replacement of the original model by the metamodel. In cases where we have certified bounds for the metamodel error, we propose a method to quantify both types of error, and we compute confidence intervals for first-order Sobol indices.

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