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The effective reproduction number: convexity, concavity and invariance

2022/11/21 by Jean‐François Delmas, Delmas, Jean-François, Dylan Dronnier +3 · 1 citation
Mathematics · Medicine · #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models #Virology and Viral Diseases

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2211.11862

Abstract

Motivated by the question of optimal vaccine allocation strategies in heterogeneous population for epidemic models, we study various properties of the effective reproduction number. In the simplest case, given a fixed, non-negative matrix K, this corresponds mathematically to the study of the spectral radius Re(η) of the matrix product Diag(η)K, as a function of η∈ℝ+n. The matrix K and the vector η can be interpreted as a next-generation operator and a vaccination strategy. This can be generalized in an infinite dimensional case where the matrix K is replaced by a positive integral compact operator, which is composed with a multiplication by a non-negative function η. We give sufficient conditions for the function Re to be convex or a concave. Eventually, we provide equivalence properties on models which ensure that the function Re is unchanged.

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