2024/08/19 by Yong-Lin Fu, Fu, Yisong, Fei Wang +13 · 1 citation
Earth and Planetary Sciences · #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Environmental Monitoring and Data Management #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2408.09695
openalex publication_date 2024/08/19 · openalex created_date 2024/09/13 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended training times, limiting their scalability to large-scale forecasting. In this paper, we revisit ATSF from a theoretical perspective of atmospheric dynamics and uncover a key insight: spatial-temporal position embedding (STPE) can inherently model spatial-temporal correlations even without attention mechanisms. Its effectiveness arises from the integration of geographical coordinates and temporal features, which are intrinsically linked to atmospheric dynamics. Based on this, we propose STELLA, a Spatial-Temporal knowledge Embedded Lightweight modeL for ASTF, utilizing only STPE and an MLP architecture in place of Transformer layers. With 10k parameters and one hour of training, STELLA achieves superior performance on five datasets compared to other advanced methods. The paper emphasizes the effectiveness of spatial-temporal knowledge integration over complex architectures, providing novel insights for ATSF. The code is available at https://github.com/GestaltCogTeam/STELLA.