2021/10/10 by Yufei Wu, Mahmoud Mahfouz, Wu, Yufei +5
Decision Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #FOS: Economics and business #Financial Markets and Investment Strategies #Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling #Forecasting Techniques and Applications #Monetary Policy and Economic Impact #Stock Market Forecasting Methods #Trading and Market Microstructure (q-fin.TR)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2110.05479
openalex publication_date 2021/10/10 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
The success of deep learning-based limit order book forecasting models is highly dependent on the quality and the robustness of the input data representation. A significant body of the quantitative finance literature focuses on utilising different deep learning architectures without taking into consideration the key assumptions these models make with respect to the input data representation. In this paper, we highlight the issues associated with the commonly-used representations of limit order book data from both a theoretical and practical perspectives. We also show the fragility of the representations under adversarial perturbations and propose two simple modifications to the existing representations that match the theoretical assumptions of deep learning models. Finally, we show experimentally how our proposed representations lead to state-of-the-art performance in both accuracy and robustness utilising very simple neural network architectures.